Ergo documentation

Ergo is a Python library for integrating model-based and judgmental forecasting.

Usage

• Getting Started

Prediction Platforms

• Metaculus
  • Metaculus
  • MetaculusQuestion
  • ContinuousQuestion
  • LinearQuestion
  • LogQuestion
  • LinearDateQuestion
  • BinaryQuestion
• Foretold
  • Foretold
  • ForetoldQuestion
• PredictIt
  • PredictIt
  • PredictItMarket
  • PredictItQuestion

Models

• Inference
  • tag
  • run
• Distributions
  • normal
  • normal_from_interval
  • lognormal
  • lognormal_from_interval
  • uniform
  • beta
  • beta_from_hits
  • categorical
  • halfnormal
  • halfnormal_from_interval
  • random_choice
  • random_integer
  • flip

Contribute to ergo core

• Contribute to Ergo core
  • poetry
  • Before submitting a PR
  • Conventions

Contribute to ergo notebooks

• Contribute to Ergo notebooks
  • How to change a notebook and make a PR
• Run a notebook in Colab or JupyterLab
  • Colab
  • JupyterLab
• Notebook Style
• Notebook contrib folder
  • Adding new packages
  • Adding dependencies

Tips

• Loading data from Google Sheets
  • Method 1 (Public CSV)
  • Method 2 (OAuth)
  • Method 3 (Service Account)